Friday, May 15, 2020

The Process of Best Strategy in Difficult Times

Kindred,

In a process, think in terms how to best approach a problem or an idea, what concepts go in, what to leave out, and how it will work out, not in terms of right or wrong, but probabilities of positive or negative outcomes (and how extensive the positive and negatives will be). 

In the process of developing a best strategy for dealing with the coronavirus, think in terms of adaptive response and proactive containment, not right or wrong, open or close.  

It should be based upon how well each community is responding to preventing, identifying, and containing the Covid-19 cases.

Failures mean exponential increases the spread of Covid-19, in cost of human lives and economic decline.  

There is no win in tragedy, just survival. 

There is no way to convince some people, when the situation is already  costly, that it would actually cost less to implement costly best strategy which will bear fruit in the longer run;

Rather than the short-term panic problems of incoherent strategies, which will result in longer and more costly problems than the "longer" best strategy, which will turn out to be shorter.  

How do I know this without a crystal ball? 

From the history of a person's track record, the trajectory of real accomplishments and experience that determine the person's ability and wisdom to handle the problem at hand.

In other words, Dumbledore will be more likely to have a best strategy than a Lockhart or Professor Trelawney.

Which ever your choice, this too shall pass.  

But will it pass at the cost of our humanity and souls?  

Or will we rise to the test and pass this test of character? 

It remains to be seen. 

Remember, your choices matter, not just to your well being, but also the well-being of your family, friends and neighbors.



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